Back in October, Amelia wrote How does India feel that 5/6 of its land neighbors are being classified as potentially failed states?? Do failed states make bad neighbors, I wondered? in this entry.
I also wondered about this question, but thought the question could be tweaked to ask, "How do Indian states feel when their neighbors could be classified as potentially failed states if they were independent entities?"
If you look at development indicators, crime statistics, or even simple anecdotal stories, you find a pattern in India. Southern India for the most part has seen faster economic growth, better governance, and better developmental stats (such as literacy, male-to-female ratios, etc) than much of the North. It is not a coincidence that the two largest centers of IT are in the South -- Bangalore and Hyderabad, state capitals of Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh respectively. Contrast that with north Indian states in the Hindi-belt like Bihar or Uttar Pradesh, from which polio cases still emanate, though the rest of India has eliminated the threat of polio.
Bihar is a classic example of failed governance and failed development within the Indian Union. Bihar has for the past 15 years remained a personal fiefdom of Laloo Prasad Yadav. He was indicted for corruption charges, and was forced to give up his position as Chief Minister. His wife then was put in his place, though it was an open secret that she was merely a puppet while Laloo dealt with the charges against him. He was able to keep power through two traditionally disenfranchised groups – Muslims and lower-caste Hindus who supported his RJD Party. Under his leadership, Bihar came to have an unsavory reputation in much of India. It became known as the kidnap capital of India; the situation became so dire that doctors went on strike a few years ago for the repeated kidnapping and ransoming of medical professionals throughout the state. Bihar became so ungovernable that the state was even split in two. The state of Jharkhand was created in 2000, ostensibly to provide greater representation for tribal groups. Still, Indian commentators at the time noted that Jharkhand residents were not unthankful to create a government free of Laloo Prasad.
In a recent series of articles in the NY Times, Amy Waldman has written about the new highway system in India. Known as the Golden Quadrilateral, the new highways are on par with typical highways in the US. Having been on the older highways in India, I say that you would be lucky to get above 50 km/hour, and if you did, you would fear for your life. Well, as construction has continued for the Golden Quadrilateral in the section connecting Delhi with Kolkotta (Calcutta), it is passing through Bihar. Engineers mostly from southern India and from South Korea have been attacked and some held for ransom. Waldman notes that engineers from Andhra Pradesh as well as South Korea felt ill-at-ease in Bihar, and both groups felt it to be quite different from home.
So, that raises the question, what will happen in India as parts of the country continue to develop faster than other parts? Jeffrey Sachs and his co-authors in a paper entitled Understanding Regional Economic Growth in India (Asian Economic Papers, Sept 2002), found that per capita incomes (obviously only one method to measure development) diverged between 1980 and 1998 in fourteen major Indian states. While richer states tended to have their per capita incomes converge on each other, the poorer states remained behind.
What will happen to those left behind? One can easily imagine that ethnic and linguistic tensions which have simmered across India since independence might be exacerbated by the larger migrations made possible by infrastructure projects such as the Golden Quadrilateral. In places like the Northeast, ethnic tensions due to economic migrations by Bengalis into Assam and Manipur have already lead to riots. While religious communalism and caste discrimination tend to grab the headlines in the West, Indians have not forgotten about the periodic violence that erupts throughout much of India when large groups of people migrate away from their homes to other regions or states. In a country where the so-called national language is spoken by less than half the population and thousands of sub-castes (jatis in Sanskrit) and ethnic groups exist, India has very high ethnolinguistic fractionalization. India also has the unfortunate potential to erupt into violence if development continues to remain so uneven.
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